{ "schemaVersion": 1, "title": "Cesta, inflação e salário mínimo durante os governos desde 2003", "updatedAt": "2026-09-11T12:09:47.694142+00:00", "latestMonth": "2026-07", "baselineMonth": "2002-12", "indexBaseYear": 2003, "indexBase": "Média mensal de 2003 = 100", "cohort": { "capitalIds": [ "BA", "CE", "ES", "GO", "PA", "PB", "PR", "PE", "RJ", "RN", "RS", "SC", "SP", "SE" ], "capitals": [ { "id": "BA", "name": "Salvador", "ibgeCode": "2927408", "dieeseCityCode": "7", "region": "Nordeste" }, { "id": "CE", "name": "Fortaleza", "ibgeCode": "2304400", "dieeseCityCode": "11", "region": "Nordeste" }, { "id": "ES", "name": "Vitória", "ibgeCode": "3205309", "dieeseCityCode": "14", "region": "Sudeste" }, { "id": "GO", "name": "Goiânia", "ibgeCode": "5208707", "dieeseCityCode": "10", "region": "Centro-Oeste" }, { "id": "PA", "name": "Belém", "ibgeCode": "1501402", "dieeseCityCode": "13", "region": "Norte" }, { "id": "PB", "name": "João Pessoa", "ibgeCode": "2507507", "dieeseCityCode": "3", "region": "Nordeste" }, { "id": "PR", "name": "Curitiba", "ibgeCode": "4106902", "dieeseCityCode": "4", "region": "Sul" }, { "id": "PE", "name": "Recife", "ibgeCode": "2611606", "dieeseCityCode": "12", "region": "Nordeste" }, { "id": "RJ", "name": "Rio de Janeiro", "ibgeCode": "3304557", "dieeseCityCode": "6", "region": "Sudeste" }, { "id": "RN", "name": "Natal", "ibgeCode": "2408102", "dieeseCityCode": "15", "region": "Nordeste" }, { "id": "RS", "name": "Porto Alegre", "ibgeCode": "4314902", "dieeseCityCode": "5", "region": "Sul" }, { "id": "SC", "name": "Florianópolis", "ibgeCode": "4205407", "dieeseCityCode": "1", "region": "Sul" }, { "id": "SP", "name": "São Paulo", "ibgeCode": "3550308", "dieeseCityCode": "8", "region": "Sudeste" }, { "id": "SE", "name": "Aracaju", "ibgeCode": "2800308", "dieeseCityCode": "16", "region": "Nordeste" } ], "sourceFile": "data/national-basket.json aggregates.fixed2010", "capitalCount": 14, "aggregation": "Média aritmética simples dos custos das mesmas 14 capitais.", "representativeness": "Recorte fixo de capitais. Não é média nacional ponderada, nem preço de todos os municípios.", "officialIndex": false }, "methodology": { "purpose": "Comparação descritiva de mudanças observadas em janelas de exercício presidencial.", "causality": "Os dados não identificam causas, mérito ou responsabilidade de um governo.", "monthlyRates": "IPCA e alimentação no domicílio publicados pelo IBGE, conferidos com as séries 433 e 27864 do BCB.", "accumulatedFormula": "100 × (nível final / nível do mês anterior ao início - 1). Para IPCA, o nível encadeia o produto das taxas mensais.", "annualizedFormula": "100 × ((nível final / nível inicial)^(12 / número de meses) - 1). Taxa equivalente, não previsão.", "realWageFormula": "Salário mínimo nominal dividido pelo nível do IPCA; série normalizada pela média mensal de 2003.", "realBasketFormula": "Cesta encadeada dividida pelo nível do IPCA; série normalizada pela média mensal de 2003.", "realChangeFormula": "100 × ((1 + variação nominal/100) / (1 + IPCA acumulado/100) - 1).", "annual": "Cada média anual exige 12 meses. O ano corrente parcial tem annualAverage nulo e partialAverage separado.", "annualRealIndices": "As médias anuais dos índices reais são médias das razões mensais. Não são a razão entre duas médias anuais.", "nominalBRL": "Somente custos publicados e salário nominal aparecem em R$. O nível encadeado da cesta só é apresentado como índice ou crescimento.", "basketLink": { "month": "2015-12", "originalAverageBRL": 358.3907142857143, "recalculatedAverageBRL": 361.8957142857143, "factor": 0.9903148894511836, "sourceId": "governments-dieese-method-2016", "formula": "A partir de janeiro de 2016, multiplicar a média nominal pela razão entre a média original e a recalculada de dezembro de 2015. Normalizar a série completa em índice.", "official": false, "limitations": "Encadeamento calculado pelo projeto para remover o salto pontual de método. Não elimina todas as diferenças entre metodologias." }, "transition": "Maio de 2016 tem faixa própria. A base de junho é maio, sem atribuir a variação de maio ao período Temer.", "comparability": "Janelas têm durações, calendários, condições e choques distintos. A anualização não torna os períodos equivalentes.", "currentWindow": "Lula III é parcial até o último mês comum. O coletor exige revisão das janelas para dados de 2027.", "promotionPolicy": "Custos mensais agregados do DIEESE. 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A associação temporal não identifica causas." }, { "id": "transition-2016", "label": "Transição em maio de 2016", "firstFullMonth": "2016-05", "lastFullMonth": "2016-05", "baselineMonth": "2016-04", "months": 1, "governmentAttributed": false, "sourceIds": [ "temer-interino-2016" ], "startMonth": "2016-05", "endMonth": "2016-05", "durationMonths": 1, "monthsExpected": 1, "completeWindow": true, "partial": false, "metrics": { "basket": { "label": "Cesta básica encadeada", "changePercent": 0.18400052519476073, "annualizedPercent": 2.2304890092218477, "baselineIndex": 265.5168639533007, "endIndex": 266.0054163774554, "indexBase": "Média de 2003 = 100" }, "ipca": { "label": "IPCA geral", "changePercent": 0.7800000000000029, "annualizedPercent": 9.772169676117581, "baselineIndex": 213.32628205854968, "endIndex": 214.99022705860634, "indexBase": "Média de 2003 = 100" }, "food": { "label": "Alimentação no domicílio (IPCA)", "changePercent": 0.869999999999993, "annualizedPercent": 10.954328638178023, "baselineIndex": 233.66341183582793, "endIndex": 235.6962835187996, "indexBase": "Média de 2003 = 100" }, "wage": { "label": "Salário mínimo nominal", "changePercent": 0.0, "annualizedPercent": 0.0, "baselineIndex": 382.60869565217394, "endIndex": 382.60869565217394, "indexBase": "Média de 2003 = 100" }, "realWage": { "label": "Salário mínimo ajustado pelo IPCA", "changePercent": -0.7739630879142645, "annualizedPercent": -8.902228775244447, "baselineIndex": 179.5058140989948, "endIndex": 178.11650535720858, "indexBase": "Média de 2003 = 100" }, "realBasket": { "label": "Cesta básica ajustada pelo IPCA", "changePercent": -0.5913866588660999, "annualizedPercent": -6.870303000430422, "baselineIndex": 124.3969536541075, "endIndex": 123.66128666616127, "indexBase": "Média de 2003 = 100" } }, "curve": [ { "date": "2016-04", "elapsedMonth": 0, "basket": 0.0, "ipca": 0.0, "food": 0.0, "wage": 0.0, "realWage": 0.0, "realBasket": 0.0 }, { "date": "2016-05", "elapsedMonth": 1, "basket": 0.18400052519476073, "ipca": 0.7800000000000029, "food": 0.869999999999993, "wage": 0.0, "realWage": -0.7739630879142645, "realBasket": -0.5913866588660999 } ], "capitalCount": 14, "missingMonths": [], "nominalEndpoints": { "baselineBasketBRL": 391.69142857142856, "endBasketBRL": 392.41214285714284, "baselineWageBRL": 880.0, "endWageBRL": 880.0 }, "note": "Mudanças observadas nesta janela. A associação temporal não identifica causas." }, { "id": "temer", "label": "Temer", "exerciseStart": "2016-05-12", "permanentInauguration": "2016-08-31", "firstFullMonth": "2016-06", "lastFullMonth": "2018-12", "baselineMonth": "2016-05", "months": 31, "includesInterimExercise": true, "sourceIds": [ "temer-interino-2016", "temer-efetivo-2016", "bolsonaro-2019" ], "startMonth": "2016-06", "endMonth": "2018-12", "durationMonths": 31, "monthsExpected": 31, "governmentAttributed": true, "completeWindow": true, "partial": false, "metrics": { "basket": { "label": "Cesta básica encadeada", "changePercent": 1.6029065650728036, "annualizedPercent": 0.6174580746471481, "baselineIndex": 266.0054163774554, "endIndex": 270.26923466001887, "indexBase": "Média de 2003 = 100" }, "ipca": { "label": "IPCA geral", "changePercent": 9.09827473952667, "annualizedPercent": 3.428250934822308, "baselineIndex": 214.99022705860634, "endIndex": 234.55062857953055, "indexBase": "Média de 2003 = 100" }, "food": { 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